Alex Pereira Vs Magomed Ankalaev: UFC 313 DFS Preview & Top Picks

Chloe Fitzgerald

5 min read

Post on May 05, 2025

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Alex Pereira's DFS Outlook

Striking Power and Knockout Potential

Pereira boasts devastating striking power, making him a high-risk, high-reward DFS play. His knockout potential translates to significant point accumulation in DFS; a single highlight-reel knockout can drastically boost your score. Consider his past performances, specifically his knockout percentages and the speed at which he secures those knockouts when assessing his DFS value. He’s capable of incredibly high scoring, but remember that this also means a higher risk of an early knockout loss, significantly impacting your DFS score.

• Past Performance: Review Pereira's fight history for evidence of quick knockouts and dominant striking performances.
• Knockout Percentage: A high knockout percentage indicates a greater likelihood of earning substantial DFS points.
• Risk Assessment: Weigh the potential for a high score against the risk of an early loss.

Ground Game Vulnerability

While Pereira's striking is elite, his grappling defense is a known weakness. Ankalaev's superior wrestling and grappling could present a significant challenge, potentially neutralizing Pereira's striking advantage and impacting his DFS score. Analyze the odds of Ankalaev securing a takedown and the potential impact this would have on Pereira's offensive output and overall performance. To mitigate this risk, consider diversifying your lineup with safer, less volatile picks.

• Grappling Defense Stats: Examine Pereira's takedown defense percentage in past fights.
• Takedown Scenarios: Assess the probability of Ankalaev successfully taking Pereira down.
• Lineup Diversification: Balance high-risk fighters like Pereira with safer options.

Magomed Ankalaev's DFS Outlook

Wrestling and Grappling Advantage

Ankalaev possesses superior wrestling and grappling skills compared to Pereira. His ability to control the fight on the ground, potentially leading to ground and pound, could lead to a consistent point accumulation strategy in DFS. Look at his takedown average and submission attempts in past fights – these metrics can be strong indicators of his DFS potential. He's considered a safer DFS pick than Pereira, with a higher likelihood of achieving a decision victory, earning consistent points throughout the fight.

• Takedown Average: Analyze Ankalaev's success rate in securing takedowns in previous fights.
• Ground Control: Assess his ability to maintain control on the ground and inflict damage.
• Decision Victory Potential: A decision victory offers a more predictable and consistent point total.

Striking Prowess and Counter-Striking

While wrestling-focused, Ankalaev also possesses solid striking skills. His counter-striking ability could capitalize on Pereira's aggressive striking approach. Analyze his significant strike accuracy and significant strike defense to estimate his potential DFS points. He could potentially score points through effective counter-strikes and defensive maneuvers, even if he avoids a knockout.

• Significant Strike Accuracy: Examine Ankalaev's percentage of significant strikes that land.
• Significant Strike Defense: Assess his ability to avoid significant strikes from his opponents.
• Counter-Striking Effectiveness: Evaluate his success rate in landing counter-strikes.

UFC 313 DFS Strategy and Lineup Construction

Value Picks & Salary Considerations

Identify potential value picks based on salary and projected performance. Analyze fighters with lower salaries but high potential for scoring – these can be game-changers in your DFS lineup. Balance high-risk, high-reward picks with safer, consistent scorers to create a balanced and competitive lineup. Utilize DFS lineup optimizers to maximize your potential winnings by identifying optimal combinations of fighters based on their projected points and salaries.

• Salary vs. Projected Points: Compare each fighter’s salary to their projected DFS points.
• Value Picks: Identify fighters undervalued relative to their projected performance.
• Lineup Optimization Tools: Utilize DFS software to optimize your lineup.

Considering Other Fights on the Card

Don't solely focus on the main event – explore other compelling matchups with high-scoring potential. Analyze the entire UFC 313 card to build a well-rounded and diversified DFS lineup. Look for fighters with favorable matchups and high knockout/submission potential. Diversify across weight classes to mitigate risk; a loss in one weight class won't necessarily sink your entire lineup.

• Undercard Analysis: Review fights on the undercard for potential high-scoring fighters.
• Matchup Analysis: Assess each fighter's chances of winning based on their matchup.
• Weight Class Diversification: Spread your picks across different weight classes.

Betting Odds and Their Influence on DFS Picks

Interpreting Betting Lines

Understand how betting odds reflect the perceived probability of different outcomes. Oddsmakers consider a range of factors, including fighter stats, past performances, and current form. Learning to interpret these odds effectively can significantly enhance your DFS strategy.

Odds & DFS Correlation

Use betting odds to inform your DFS player selection. Favorable odds often correlate with higher DFS scoring potential, though not always. However, a fighter heavily favored by the oddsmakers typically suggests a higher probability of a dominant victory, translating to more DFS points.

Identifying Value Bets

Look for discrepancies between implied probability (as reflected in betting odds) and actual DFS value to unearth advantageous picks. Sometimes a fighter with longer odds might offer significantly higher potential DFS points relative to their salary, making them a worthwhile value pick.

Conclusion

The Alex Pereira vs Magomed Ankalaev fight at UFC 313 presents a compelling DFS challenge, with both fighters offering unique strengths and weaknesses. By carefully considering their respective styles, statistical profiles, and betting odds, you can construct a winning DFS lineup. Remember to diversify your picks, balance risk and reward, and utilize lineup optimizers to maximize your potential. Don't miss out on this exciting opportunity to dominate your UFC 313 DFS contests. Start building your winning team now with our expert Alex Pereira vs Magomed Ankalaev DFS preview and top picks!