UFC 315: Shevchenko Vs. Fiorot Predictions, Picks & Odds

Chloe Fitzgerald

4 min read

Post on May 11, 2025

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Valentina Shevchenko's Strengths and Weaknesses

Valentina “Bullet” Shevchenko is a dominant force in women's mixed martial arts, known for her exceptional skill set and tactical prowess.

Shevchenko's Striking Prowess

Shevchenko's striking dominance is legendary. Her technical striking, precise footwork, and ability to control range are unmatched in the flyweight division. She effortlessly mixes up her attacks, seamlessly transitioning between jabs, kicks, and devastating combinations. Her ability to maintain distance and pick apart opponents from the outside makes her a formidable opponent for anyone.

Shevchenko's Ground Game

While primarily known for her striking, Shevchenko possesses a surprisingly effective ground game. Her takedown defense is exceptional, rarely allowing opponents to take her down. When on the ground, she's defensively sound and possesses a crafty submission game, although she prefers to keep the fight standing.

Potential Weaknesses

Despite her dominance, Shevchenko has shown some potential vulnerabilities. A truly powerful and relentless striker who can withstand her range control could potentially pose a threat. Additionally, while her takedown defense is excellent, a truly exceptional wrestler might be able to close the distance and negate her striking advantage. Some analysts also point to a possible, slight decline in speed as she progresses in her career, although this is still debatable.

• Key Stats: Significant Strike Accuracy: 52%, Takedown Defense: 80%
• Past Victories: Dominant wins over Jessica Andrade, Lauren Murphy, and Liz Carmouche.
• Notable Fights: Her trilogy of fights against Amanda Nunes showcases her exceptional skill and adaptability.

Manon Fiorot's Strengths and Weaknesses

Manon Fiorot is a rising star in the UFC, known for her aggressive fighting style and powerful striking. She represents a significant challenge to Shevchenko's reign.

Fiorot's Striking Power and Technique

Fiorot is an aggressive fighter with powerful striking and impressive accuracy. Her combinations are fluid, and her leg kicks are particularly devastating, capable of wearing down opponents over time. Her willingness to engage in striking exchanges makes her a thrilling fighter to watch.

Fiorot's Ground Game and Cardio

Fiorot's ground game is a work in progress, though she possesses adequate grappling skills and a solid ground-and-pound game. Her cardio is generally excellent, allowing her to maintain a high pace throughout the fight.

Potential Weaknesses

Fiorot’s potential weaknesses lie in her ability to handle exceptionally technical strikers like Shevchenko who can maintain range and control the pace of the fight. Her takedown defense, while improving, could still be exploited by a more experienced wrestler.

• Key Stats: Significant Strike Accuracy: 48%, Takedown Accuracy: 25%
• Past Victories: Impressive wins over Katlyn Chookagian and Andrea Lee.
• Notable Fights: Her performance against Chookagian demonstrated her striking power and potential.

UFC 315 Odds and Betting Predictions

Current Betting Odds

At the time of writing, the odds vary slightly depending on the sportsbook, but Shevchenko is generally favored. Expect odds around -300 for Shevchenko and +250 for Fiorot. (Check your preferred sportsbook for the most up-to-date UFC 315 odds).

Fight Prediction and Analysis

Based on our analysis, we predict a Shevchenko victory. While Fiorot possesses power and aggression, Shevchenko's technical superiority, superior range control, and exceptional takedown defense give her a significant advantage. We believe Shevchenko will use her superior movement and precision striking to control the fight and secure a decision victory.

Best Bets and Value Picks

• Prediction: Shevchenko by Decision
• Best Bet: Shevchenko to win (While the odds aren't high-value, the probability of victory based on our analysis leans heavily towards Shevchenko).

Potential Fight Scenarios and Key Moments to Watch

Early Round Domination

Shevchenko's early round dominance is a strong possibility. If she establishes her range and scoring early, it will be tough for Fiorot to close the gap.

Turning Points

A potential turning point could be if Fiorot manages to land a significant, early strike that forces Shevchenko to change her approach. Another pivotal moment could be if Fiorot successfully takes Shevchenko down.

Late-Round Surge

A late-round surge is unlikely for Fiorot unless Shevchenko begins to show signs of fatigue.

• Key Moments: Watch for Shevchenko's movement and range control in the early rounds, and Fiorot's attempts to land power shots and close the distance.

Conclusion

The UFC 315 Shevchenko vs. Fiorot fight is a compelling matchup between a dominant champion and a rising contender. While Fiorot has the power to cause an upset, Shevchenko’s technical mastery and experience should prevail. Our prediction is a victory for Shevchenko by decision. What are your predictions for UFC 315 Shevchenko vs. Fiorot? Share your thoughts on the UFC 315 Shevchenko vs. Fiorot fight in the comments below! Check back for our post-fight analysis and future UFC predictions.